Monday, February 17, 2014

Tree Diagram

Have any of you heard of a tree diagram? Or what it is used for? Well we learned about them today and well they were confusing at first, but actually really fun after I understood how they worked. Here is an example of a Tree Diagram. They are used to help calculate probabilities and helps you understand how it works. So I hope this picture doesn't scare you right off the back because it is actually easier than it looks. 

Lets do one that will go along with this graph so you can have a visual aid. Suppose there is vending bouncy ball machine. In this machine there are 3 Red Balls, 2 Green Balls, and 1 White Ball. There is this mother named Sally who has two kids, twins to be exact and she wants to get them each a ball. What is the probability of getting a red, and then a green ball in that order?

So in the FIRST STAGE

On the line going up to red we would put 3/6
On the line that goes to the white one we would put 1/6
Finally on the line that goes to the green we would write 2/6

Now if you were to add up all the numerators you should get 6
1+2+3=6

Now the SECOND STAGE would be written like this, since there is one ball being taken out each time we have to take that into account.

Red to Red = 2/5
Red to White = 1/5
Red to Green = 2/5

Add the numerators up and you get 5

White to Red = 3/5
White to White = 0/5
White to Green = 2/5

Add the numerators up and you get 5

Green to Red = 3/5
Green to White = 1/5
Green to Green = 1/5

Add the numerators up and you get 5

Now for the THIRD STAGE you have

RR 6/30 + GG 2/30 = 8/30 = 4/15

The probability of Sally getting a red and then a green ball is 4/15

5 comments:

  1. Wow Casey you did a really good job describing this in detail so that everyone can understand it. The picture also really helped too!

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  2. Everything is so detailed! I love it! It's super easy to understand and the way you put it in steps really helped.

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  3. Firstly, I love the title of your blog. Secondly, I love this post! The image along with your description is really well done. Kids always wonder how they can get the color of ball they want so I think this post will be very beneficial with that.

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  4. I am very confused on the third stage when you were only picking two balls. I came up with a different answer as to what the probability was of getting a red ball and then a green. Hopefully for your grade I am incorrect. Also in your original problem, unless you intentionally want to confuse the students you teach, I think you would be better off leaving out the sentence about the mom and the twins and just get to the answer, the question is difficult enough.

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  5. I really like how you broke everything down into steps because it can be very confusing when you are first learning about this. Maybe something that could help the reader understand a little bit better is if you included pictures of each step that way the reader can visually see what is happening.

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